CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2013-06-28T01:54:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2013-06-28T01:54Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/402/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2013-06-30T10:40Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2013-07-01T14:00Z
Predicted Dst min. in nT: -31
Predicted Dst min. time: 2013-07-01T23:59Z
Prediction Method: Anemomilos
Prediction Method Note:
estimated CME arrival from small flare/CME at S19W21 with a derived velocity of 505 km/s that will result in a G1 level event. flare occurred June 28, 2013 (2013/179) at 03UT +/- 1 hour
Lead Time: 15.27 hour(s)
Difference: -27.33 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) on 2013-06-29T19:24Z
CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement